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Even After Rising 3.2% This Past Week, JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ:JBLU) Shareholders Are Still Down 69% Over the Past Five Years

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 2 03:01

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. For example, after five long years the JetBlue Airways Corporation (NASDAQ:JBLU) share price is a whole 69% lower. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 32%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 12% in the last 90 days.

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$65m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

Given that JetBlue Airways didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last half decade, JetBlue Airways saw its revenue increase by 9.5% per year. That's a pretty good rate for a long time period. The share price, meanwhile, has fallen 11% compounded, over five years. It seems probably that the business has failed to live up to initial expectations. A pessimistic market can create opportunities.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:JBLU Earnings and Revenue Growth July 1st 2024

JetBlue Airways is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. You can see what analysts are predicting for JetBlue Airways in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, JetBlue Airways shareholders lost 32%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for JetBlue Airways (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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