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It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY)

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 1 23:16

Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:PGY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024

What Does Pagaya Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Pagaya Technologies' and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Pagaya Technologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Pagaya Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were fairly tame in comparison. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 19% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 14%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Pagaya Technologies' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Pagaya Technologies' P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Pagaya Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Pagaya Technologies that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Pagaya Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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