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Is Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 1 20:57

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Okta Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Okta had US$1.16b of debt in April 2024, down from US$1.83b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has US$2.32b in cash, leading to a US$1.17b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:OKTA Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024

How Healthy Is Okta's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Okta had liabilities of US$1.69b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$2.32b in cash and US$330.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$352.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Okta shares are worth a very impressive total of US$15.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Okta boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Okta's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Okta reported revenue of US$2.4b, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

So How Risky Is Okta?

While Okta lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow US$578m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. The good news for Okta shareholders is that its revenue growth is strong, making it easier to raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Okta has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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