Individual investor, Yuusuke Yuuiten: aiming for stocks with performance expectations and topicality even in the midst of low growth [FISCO Social Reporter]

Fisco Japan · Jun 30 09:00

以下は、フィスコソーシャルレポーターの個人投資家「有限亭玉介」氏（ブログ：儲かる株情報「猫旦那のお株は天井知らず」）が執筆したコメントです。フィスコでは、情報を積極的に発信する個人の方と連携し、より多様な情報を投資家の皆様に向けて発信することに努めております。

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※2024年6月24日14時に執筆

以前に比べるとグロース株の下落は少しマシになったようにも見えます。しかし、まだ復調したとまでは言えませんねぇ。日銀の植田総裁が利上げへ舵を切るならば、グロースの立場はますます悪くなるのかもしれませんねぇ。

改めまして株＆猫ブログ「儲かる株情報『猫旦那のお株は天井知らず』」を執筆しております、有限亭玉介と申します。

金利上昇はグロース株のみならず、株式市場全体でネガティブな要因と言えます。そもそも、なぜ利上げは株式市場にとってネガティブで、特にグロース株が売られてしまうのでしょうか。

一般論として株式よりも国債の方がリスクは低いので、無理にリスクを負ってまで株式を買うよりは金利が上がった国債を買う方が安心という事ですな。特にグロースのような業績より期待先行で買われる銘柄は、そんな時にこそ売られやすい傾向があります。有利子負債などの借り入れが多いと、金利上昇が経営を圧迫する事も考えられますからねぇ。

もちろんこれらは一般論であって、グロースの中でも金利上昇の影響を跳ね返す勢いのある銘柄も存在しております。むしろ個人投資家としてはそのような銘柄を狙いたいから、国債よりも株式投資を選択しているとも言えますねぇ。

グロース株が売られ過ぎている状況は投資家の誰もが認識しておりますので、どのタイミングで買いが入って反発するのか注視しているはずです。まずはバリューが買われてからグロースにも資金が流れて来るはずですので、相場の潮目を見過ごさないように監視を続けて参りましょう。今回もここ最近であたくしが注目している銘柄をピックアップしました。

難しい相場で底値から反発している曙ブレーキ工業＜7238＞は、6月28日をもって事業再生計画期間が終了するとの発表が好感されたようです。割安で値ごろ感のある同社は、底値圏からトレンド転換する機運が高まっておりますな。業績は堅調ですので、しっかり監視を強めていきたいです。

直近の決算が好感されたシーイーシー＜9692＞は、窓を開けて動意すると25日線・75日線を上回りました。ソフト開発を手掛ける同社はDX関連としてのテーマ性を有しており、自社株買いも好感された模様。年初来高値をどこまで更新できるか監視中です。

ゴルフクラブのOEMから自動車・鍛造部品まで手掛ける遠藤製作所＜7841＞は、著名投資家の清原達郎氏が大株主である点でも物色されております。ここ最近『レジェンド』とも言われる清原氏のお墨付きである小型株…業績は安定感がありそうなので注視したいですな。

精密金型を主力とする黒田精工＜7726＞は、半導体向けでも思惑がありますな。業績は好調で、PBRも割安です。チャート(日足)はじわじわと上昇トレンドを形成しており、週足ではトレンド転換へ向かうか監視中。

チャート(日足)が見事に下値を切り上げているＧＭＯＴＥＣＨ＜6026＞は、年初来高値を更新しておりますねぇ。アフェリエイト型広告を手掛ける同社は、24年12月期も過去最高益を更新する予想です。1万円超えの株価は個人投資家が手を出すのは躊躇してしまいますが…今後の株式分割も見据えると押し目を狙っても面白いのかもしれませんな。

最後は中小企業・経営支援プラットフォーム「Big Advance」を開発するココペリ＜4167＞です。時価総額100億以下で業績はまずまずですが、直近のチャート(日足)はじわじわと上向いてきました。中小企業の海外展開を支援する「BIG ADVANCE GLOBAL」の発表を好感した買いが流入しております。

さて、ちょっとお話が長くなりましたが、あたくしのブログではそんな「今強含んでいる個別株・テーマ株」を紹介しています。お暇があれば覗いてみてやってください。愛猫「アル」と共にお待ち申し上げております。

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執筆者名：有限亭玉介

ブログ名：猫旦那のお株は天井知らず

The following is a comment written by a FISCO social reporter for individual investors, Mr. Yuusuke Yuge (Blog: Profitable Stock Information" Nekodanna's Stock Never Ceilings "). At FISCO, we strive to work with individuals who are actively disseminating information to deliver a diverse range of information to investors.

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* Written on June 24, 2024 at 2:00 pm.

Compared to before, the decline of growth stocks seems to have eased slightly. However, it's still too early to say that they have recovered. If BOJ Governor Ueda steers towards a rate hike, the position of growth stocks could become even worse.

I am Yugi Yuge, who writes a stock and cat blog called 'Profitable Stock Information "Nekodanna's Stock Never Ceilings"'.

The rise in interest rates is a negative factor not only for growth stocks but for the entire stock market. In the first place, why is a rate hike negative for the stock market, especially for growth stocks?

As a general rule, the risk of government bonds is lower than that of stocks, so it is safer to buy government bonds that have risen in interest rates than to buy stocks at risk. Stocks that are expected to be bought ahead of their performance, such as growth stocks, tend to be sold at such times. If you have a lot of borrowing such as interest-bearing debt, rising interest rates can also put pressure on management.

Of course, these are generalizations, and there are also stocks within growth that have the momentum to resist the effects of rising interest rates. Rather, as individual investors, we should aim for such stocks, so it can be said that we choose to invest in stocks rather than government bonds.

All investors are aware that growth stocks are being sold too much, so they should be watching to see when buying will come in and rebound. First, money should flow into value before flowing into growth, so let's keep an eye on the tide of the market. I have picked up the stocks I have been paying attention to recently.

Akebono Brake Industry <7238>, which is rebounding from the bottom in a difficult market, seems to have been well received following the announcement that the business revitalization plan period will end on June 28. The company, which is inexpensive and has a sense of value, is gaining momentum for a trend reversal from the bottom range. The performance is solid, so I want to keep a close eye on it.

Shares of CEC <9692>, which have been well received in recent earnings releases, rose above the 25-day and 75-day moving averages when the window opened. The company, which handles software development, has a thematic element as a DX-related company, and its share buyback was also well received. We are monitoring whether it can update its year-to-date high.

Endo Manufacturing <7841>, which handles everything from OEM golf clubs to automotive and forging parts, is also being sought after for the fact that well-known investor Tatsurokiyohara is a major shareholder. Recently, there has been a lot of attention on small-scale stocks, which are also called 'legends', and have been approved by Kitahara-san ... The performance seems to be stable, so I want to keep an eye on it.

Kuroda Seiko <7726> , which specializes in precision mold making, also has expectations for semiconductors. The performance is good and PBR is also inexpensive. We are watching whether the chart (daily) will form a slowly rising trend and whether it will move towards a trend reversal in the weekly chart.

GMO TECH <6026>, which has beautifully cut up the lower limit of the chart (daily), has updated its year-to-date high. The company, which handles affiliate-type advertising, is expected to update its record high earnings for the year ended December 2024. Although individual investors may hesitate to invest in stocks that are over 10,000 yen ... It may be interesting to aim for a dip, considering future stock splits.

Finally, Cocopelli <4167>, a mid-sized and small business management support platform, has been slowly turning up the chart (daily) recently, although its market capitalization is less than 10 billion yen and its performance is decent. We are seeing buying flowing in due to the announcement of 'BIG ADVANCE GLOBAL', which supports the overseas expansion of small and medium-sized enterprises.

Well, the story has become a bit long, but on my blog, I introduce "individual stocks and theme stocks that are currently strong". Please take a look if you have time. We look forward to welcoming you with our beloved cat, "Al".

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Author Name: Yuugentei Tamaki Blog Name: The Cat Master's Stocks Know No Limits

Blog Name: The Cat Master's Stocks Know No Limits

The translation is provided by third-party software.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.

個人投資家・有限亭玉介：グロース低迷でも狙うは業績期待と話題性のある株【FISCOソーシャルレポーター】

Individual investor, Yuusuke Yuuiten: aiming for stocks with performance expectations and topicality even in the midst of low growth [FISCO Social Reporter]

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