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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About AMMO, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:POWW) 28% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 25 18:23

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AMMO, Inc. (NASDAQ:POWW) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 19% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Leisure industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may still consider AMMO as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:POWW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 25th 2024

How AMMO Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for AMMO as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. Perhaps the market is predicting a change in fortunes for the company and is expecting them to blow past the rest of the industry, elevating the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AMMO.

How Is AMMO's Revenue Growth Trending?

AMMO's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 139% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to remain buoyant, climbing by 10% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That would be an excellent outcome when the industry is expected to decline by 1.0%.

In light of this, it's understandable that AMMO's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. At this time, shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a much more prosperous future.

The Final Word

There's still some elevation in AMMO's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of AMMO's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook against a shaky industry is contributing to its high P/S. Outperforming the industry in this manner looks to have provided investors with a bit of confidence that the future will be bright, bolstering the P/S. Questions could still raised over whether this level of outperformance can continue in the context of a a tumultuous industry climate. Although, if the company's prospects don't change they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for AMMO that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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