The highly anticipated GPT-5, which has repeatedly been delayed, may experience a significant postponement. However, it is expected that its performance will dramatically improve, reaching an 'expert level' of intelligence.
According to media reports on Sunday, Mira Murati, the Chief Technology Officer of OpenAI, recently revealed that the company's new generation of artificial intelligence model, GPT-5, is expected to be launched at the end of 2025 or early 2026 and reach a doctoral level in specific tasks, which marks another major leap forward in artificial intelligence technology.
It is reported that the internal code names of GPT-5 are "Gobi" and "Arrakis", which is a multimodal model with 52 trillion parameters, while the previous generation GPT-4 had about 2 trillion parameters. This huge parameter scale implies its potential powerful ability. Murati compares the progress from GPT-4 to GPT-5 to the leap from high school level to university level, indicating that the new model will significantly improve in complexity and ability.
It is worth mentioning that this release time is quite different from the early rumors. The market had previously predicted that GPT-5 might be released at the end of 2023 or in the summer of 2024, but Murati's latest statement has delayed the time to the end of 2025 or early 2026. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has emphasized that there is currently no fixed release schedule.
AI expert Alan D. Thompson previously predicted that GPT-5 might be publicly released in December 2024 (after the US election), but the latest schedule adjustment shows that OpenAI may need more time to develop a more powerful and intelligent system.
This adjustment reflects the company's focus on product quality, rather than strictly following the preset schedule.
Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott emphasized at the 2024 Berggruen Salon that AI has made a significant leap forward, and GPT-5 has the potential to pass complex exams, reflecting its significant progress in reasoning and problem-solving abilities. Scott also pointed out that the entry threshold in the AI field is decreasing, which means that powerful AI tools will be available to a wider audience.
Murati claims that GPT-5 will reach a "doctoral level" of intelligence in certain specific tasks. This statement has been supported by industry leaders. Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott said that due to improvements in memory and reasoning operations, the next generation of AI systems will be able to pass doctoral exams, and Murati emphasized that this high-level performance will be geared towards specific tasks.
Edited by Jeffrey