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Shareholders Have Faith in Loss-making BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX) as Stock Climbs 4.1% in Past Week, Taking Five-year Gain to 69%

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 22 20:16

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:BCRX) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 69% over five years, which is below the market return. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 8.4% in that time.

Since the stock has added US$52m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

Given that BioCryst Pharmaceuticals didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

For the last half decade, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals can boast revenue growth at a rate of 51% per year. Even measured against other revenue-focussed companies, that's a good result. It's nice to see shareholders have made a profit, but the gain of 11% over the period isn't that impressive compared to the overall market. You could argue the market is still pretty skeptical, given the growing revenues. It could be that the stock was previously over-priced - but if you're looking for underappreciated growth stocks, these numbers indicate that there might be an opportunity here.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:BCRX Earnings and Revenue Growth June 22nd 2024

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. If you are thinking of buying or selling BioCryst Pharmaceuticals stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals shareholders are down 8.4% for the year, but the market itself is up 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 11%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand BioCryst Pharmaceuticals better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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