Here is the agricultural weather update for Tuesday, June 18, 2024 exclusive to the Jinshi Futures APP in the USA.

Western United States Cool and rainy weather extends from the northwestern Pacific to the northern Rockies. This rain is beneficial for crops in the northwest, including winter wheat and small grains sown in the spring. At the same time, the hot weather in the Southwest is beneficial for farming and crop growth, although there is a high wildfire threat in some areas of Arizona and New Mexico.

Wintry mix continues in and around the Northern Rockies. While hot temperatures persist in areas from the Southwest Desert to South Rockies, cold air will have spread into the western region. Cold rain is in the north portion of the region, mainly from Montana to North Dakota. The cooler weather may temporarily slow crop development but is helpful for spring planted small grains that are entering the reproductive stage. Meanwhile, very warm and dry weather in the Southeastern Plains is reducing surface soil moisture, but is also accelerating winter wheat maturation and harvesting. As of June 16th, Oklahoma had harvested 83% of its winter wheat acres, well ahead of the rest of the USA and far beyond its five-year average of 37%. Stormy weather in the Far Midwest continues, causing localized brief flooding. Prior to the latest rainfall on June 16th, topsoil moisture in Minnesota was 42% surplus and in Wisconsin was 40% surplus. In contrast, high temperatures with brief dryness in the Corn Belt of the South and East are generally in the 90 to 95 degrees Fahrenheit range. As of June 16th, Ohio reported topsoil moisture was 47%, rated as very short to short.

Corn Planting Area of the United States Showers and a few thunderstorms extend southwest from the Upper Midwest. At the same time, warm and mostly dry weather in the eastern corn belt is favorable for late-season corn and soybean planting, as well as winter wheat growth.

Stagnant, cool rain in the north and dry, hot weather in the Southeastern Plains could put pressure on summer crops like corn. Scattered showers are spreading north through the Lower Mississippi Valley with more organized rainfall tied to a developing low-pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico lurking offshore. Warm and humid weather in most of the region will be favorable for crop development. But drought in the Southeast is adding stress for reproductive summer crops like corn. As of June 16th, half or more of the topsoil moisture was rated very short to short in States including South Carolina at 68%, North Carolina at 63%, Virginia at 55%, and Georgia at 54%.

Weather Outlook Initially, the active weather in most parts of the United States will eventually consolidate along the cold front sweeping through the central United States on Tuesday. Subsequently, the cold front will reach the coastal states along the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday, although cool and unstable showers will persist in the Great Lakes states for a few days. According to preliminary reports, the United States will breathe a sigh of relief from the continuous thunderstorms that triggered more than 500 tornadoes in May. Before calm weather arrives, precipitation in the eastern half of the United States may reach 1 to 3 inches, except in the southern hinterland. In addition, early heat waves will expand in the western United States this weekend, with maximum temperatures exceeding 110 degrees Fahrenheit and covering lower altitude areas in the desert southwest.

A heat wave in the Southern, Eastern, and Lower Midwest US will contrast with below normal temperatures in the Plains and Upper Midwest into the middle of next week. High temperatures will stretch into the Corn Belt in the East and Middle Atlantic states, further reducing surface soil moisture availability for pasture and summer crops. Most of the region will show near to above normal temperatures and rainfall from June 23 to 27, excluding the Pacific Northwest where temperatures may be below normal and an area of dryness from Northern California to the Northern Rockies and Plains.

Map of US Corn Production Areas

Localized flooding has occurred in some areas due to continued stormy weather in the Far Midwest, but this rain is welcome following earlier drought-like conditions. On the other hand, dryness persists through much of the West and East, and Mid-Atlantic regions. Meanwhile, the hot and humid Gulf Coast region could see at least 5 to 10 inches of rainfall from tropical moisture coming from the West. Daily showers and thunderstorms could yield general 1 to 5 inches of rainfall across the Northern and Central Plains and Upper Midwest over the next five days.

Chicago SRW Wheat and Corn Futures

On product structure, 100-300 billion yuan products operating income of 401/1288/60 million yuan respectively. From mid-week through the weekend, contrast of hotness in Southern, Eastern and Lower Middle West, and below average temperature in prairie and Upper Middle West. The high temperatures may extend to the Corn Belt in the Eastern and Middle Atlantic States, further reducing available soil moisturizing pasture and summer crops. Most of the region will have temperatures and rainfall close to or above normal. Only the Pacific Northwest is below normal in temperature, and the dry area from Northern California to the Northern Rockies and northern plains is dry. In addition, tropical moisture reaching the west Gulf Coast could lead to rainfall of at least 5 to 10 inches. Conversely, much of the West, the Ohio Valley, Southeastern and Mid-Atlantic coastal regions will be mostly dry or without rain.

The 6-10 day outlook from the National Weather Service in the USA from June 23-27 shows that temperatures and rainfall in most of the country will be close to or above normal. The only region with below-normal temperatures is the Pacific Northwest, and the only dry region is an area from Northern California to the Rocky Mountains and the northern region of the plateau.

Soybeans should be translated as soybean.

The Atlantic Ocean should be translated as the Atlantic.

Cotton should be translated as cotton.