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Vericel Corporation's (NASDAQ:VCEL) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 18 19:18

There wouldn't be many who think Vericel Corporation's (NASDAQ:VCEL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Biotechs industry in the United States is similar at about 12x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NasdaqGM:VCEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 18th 2024

What Does Vericel's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Vericel could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vericel.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Vericel's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 57% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 205% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Vericel's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Vericel's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given that Vericel's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Vericel that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Vericel's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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