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ヒガシ21 Research Memo(9):中期経営計画2026の目標値を上方修正

Higashi 21 Research Memo (9): Upward revision of target values for Mid-term Management Plan 2026.

Fisco Japan ·  Jun 18 12:29

■ Growth strategy 1. Business environment Considering the business environment surrounding the "AIAI Three Education Zones" developed by the AIAI group <6557>, AIAI NURSERY in the field of licensed nursery schools is expected to experience a large shift in nursery policies from 2024, as the organization responsible for child and family services was established in April 2023 with the aim of improving the quality of early childhood education and care, and as a response to the "unprecedented decline in the number of children" in Japan. However, despite the encouragement from the government, the saturated market feeling cannot be ignored due to the declining birth rate and the significant reduction in the number of newly opened nursery schools, taking into account factors such as the resolution of the waiting list problem in the industry. We also believe that the elimination of small-scale operating companies, considering the shortage of childcare workers, is a possibility to consider. On the other hand, the number of children with developmental disabilities is increasing even in the declining birth rate, and the demand for facilities for disabled children (child development support, medical child development support, after-school day services, visit support for nursery facilities, etc.) is rapidly increasing. Considering this situation, we believe that, not only is the business environment for AIAI PLUS and AIAI VISIT positive, the business environment for the "AIAI Three Education Zones", which provides integrated child care, therapeutic care, and education, is also favorable. 2. AIAI Group Mid-term Management Plan 2023-2025 The company formulated the AIAI Group Mid-term Management Plan 2023-2025 in May 2023, which incorporated a reconsideration of the position of the tech field, the construction of new business models such as nursery school visit support (AIAI VISIT) and early childhood education programs. The target figures are listed as sales of 12-13 billion yen and operating profit of 300-500 million yen in the final fiscal year ending March 2026, and cumulative investment of 680 million yen over three years. In the first term of the plan, ending in March 2024, sales and operating profit exceeded the final year target value, and the total number of children, the total number of visits to nursery facilities, and the total number of internal license holders all exceeded the plan. The growth strategy is progressing smoothly, and there is no major change in the basic strategy of maximizing group synergy through the "AIAI Three Education Zones". Regarding AIAI NURSERY, considering the situation in which the speed of opening licensed nursery schools is slowing down throughout the industry due to the resolution of the waiting list problem, the company will slow down the speed of opening new facilities with the maturity of the market in mind. However, in addition to continuing to expand into regions with high needs and high investment efficiency, the company will promote efforts to reorganize the industry. On the other hand, due to the growing demand for facilities for disabled children, AIAI PLUS will be developed as a pillar of growth after AIAI NURSERY, and the expansion of AIAI VISIT will be fully implemented in the Tokyo metropolitan area as a new business model. Regarding the expansion of AIAI VISIT, securing specialized visiting support personnel is an important point, so we will strengthen our approach from a variety of channels and promote the excavation of potential qualified persons. 7. Corporate-related initiatives In terms of financial and capital aspects, the company will continue to improve its self-capital and aim to support the stable growth of its business from a financial perspective. In terms of human capital, we will promote the creation of a work environment in which all employees at the facilities and offices can work comfortably and foster human resources. In AIAI NURSERY and AIAI PLUS, we will increase the options for work styles based on the preferences and stages of life of the employees working in the facilities, and establish a workplace environment where work and family can be balanced.

1. The target value of the medium-term management plan 2026 has been revised upward.

Higashi Twenty-one <9029> put forward the vision of "continuously transforming into a company that delivers the best service to customers" in the long-term management vision "Higashi 21 Group VISION2030" formulated in July 2020. Then, in the medium-term management plan 2026 (fiscal year 2024-2026) formulated in May 2023 with the theme of "leaping forward with the foundation of growth", the target values were set at sales of 42 billion yen and operating profit of 2.5 billion yen by March 2026. Since the target value is expected to be achieved ahead of schedule in the fiscal year ending March 2025, it was upwardly revised in May 2024, and the targets of sales of 45 billion yen, operating profit of 2.8 billion yen, and dividends per share of 40.0 yen were set.

There are no significant changes in the basic strategy for growth, and in addition to growth strategies for each business, we will promote the creation of synergy across business boundaries and investment in technical infrastructure for business efficiency and operational enhancement. With regard to operating profit margin, we aim to secure a level above the median of the land transportation industry by providing high-value-added logistics services. The target for ROE is 8% or higher. Despite the impact of proactive investment for business expansion, it is aimed to secure a level above the median of the land transportation industry. We also aim to promote shareholder returns and sustainability management.

(Authored by FISCO guest analyst Masanobu Mizuta)

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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