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Telos Corporation's (NASDAQ:TLS) Share Price Boosted 36% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 13 18:06

Telos Corporation (NASDAQ:TLS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 36% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 69%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Telos' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:TLS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 13th 2024

What Does Telos' Recent Performance Look Like?

Telos could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Telos will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Telos' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 31%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 29% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 4.1% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 15%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Telos' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Telos' P/S?

Shares in Telos have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Telos' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Telos' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Telos has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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