Despite an already strong run, Ameresco, Inc. (NYSE:AMRC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 32% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Ameresco as a stock to avoid entirely with its 31.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Ameresco as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
How Is Ameresco's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Ameresco's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 9.0% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 33% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Ameresco is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Ameresco's P/E?
Ameresco's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Ameresco's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Ameresco (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ameresco, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.