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Will Weakness in RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.'s (NYSE:RNR) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 12 02:48

It is hard to get excited after looking at RenaissanceRe Holdings' (NYSE:RNR) recent performance, when its stock has declined 3.7% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study RenaissanceRe Holdings' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for RenaissanceRe Holdings is:

21% = US$3.4b ÷ US$16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.21.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

RenaissanceRe Holdings' Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

To start with, RenaissanceRe Holdings' ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 13% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for RenaissanceRe Holdings' moderate 9.8% net income growth seen over the past five years.

We then performed a comparison between RenaissanceRe Holdings' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 8.4% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:RNR Past Earnings Growth June 11th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if RenaissanceRe Holdings is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is RenaissanceRe Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

In RenaissanceRe Holdings' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low LTM (or last twelve month) payout ratio of 3.3% (or a retention ratio of 97%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Additionally, RenaissanceRe Holdings has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 4.5% over the next three years. Therefore, the expected rise in the payout ratio explains why the company's ROE is expected to decline to 16% over the same period.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that RenaissanceRe Holdings' performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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