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Okta, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OKTA) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 11 21:24

When close to half the companies in the IT industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may consider Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:OKTA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 11th 2024

How Has Okta Performed Recently?

Okta certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Okta's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Okta's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Okta would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 161% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 11% per year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Okta's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Okta's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Analysts are forecasting Okta's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Okta you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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