Despite an already strong run, Rent the Runway, Inc. (NASDAQ:RENT) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 43% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 42% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Rent the Runway's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Has Rent the Runway Performed Recently?
Rent the Runway hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Rent the Runway.How Is Rent the Runway's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Rent the Runway's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.5%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 104% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 4.1% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.6%, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's understandable that Rent the Runway's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What Does Rent the Runway's P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Rent the Runway's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
A Rent the Runway's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Specialty Retail industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
Having said that, be aware Rent the Runway is showing 7 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those don't sit too well with us.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.