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QuantaSing Group Limited (NASDAQ:QSG) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 45% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 8 21:48

The QuantaSing Group Limited (NASDAQ:QSG) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 45%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 81% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, it would be understandable if you think QuantaSing Group is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Consumer Services industry have P/S ratios above 1.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:QSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 8th 2024

How QuantaSing Group Has Been Performing

QuantaSing Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think QuantaSing Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like QuantaSing Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 26% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 106% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that QuantaSing Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does QuantaSing Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

QuantaSing Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Services companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that QuantaSing Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with QuantaSing Group, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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