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Improved Revenues Required Before SecureWorks Corp. (NASDAQ:SCWX) Shares Find Their Feet

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 7 21:08

SecureWorks Corp.'s (NASDAQ:SCWX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGS:SCWX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2024

What Does SecureWorks' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

SecureWorks hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SecureWorks will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is SecureWorks' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as SecureWorks' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 35% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 9.7% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14%.

With this information, we are not surprised that SecureWorks is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's clear to see that SecureWorks maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware SecureWorks is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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