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Semrush Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:SEMR) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 4 19:28

Semrush Holdings' (NYSE:SEMR) stock is up by a considerable 39% over the past three months.   However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum.      Specifically, we decided to study Semrush Holdings'  ROE in this article.  

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital.  In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Semrush Holdings is:

5.5% = US$13m ÷ US$231m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit.  One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.06 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings.  Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits.  Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Semrush Holdings' Earnings Growth And 5.5% ROE

At first glance, Semrush Holdings' ROE doesn't look very promising.   Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 11%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic.   Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 17% seen by Semrush Holdings was probably the result of it having a lower ROE.  We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects.  Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.    

That being said, we compared Semrush Holdings' performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 15% in the same 5-year period.  

NYSE:SEMR Past Earnings Growth June 4th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock.   What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price.   This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future.    Is Semrush Holdings fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.  

Is Semrush Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Semrush Holdings doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits.  So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.  

Conclusion  

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Semrush Holdings can be open to many interpretations.      Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct.       Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement.     Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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