One thing we could say about the analysts on Valuetronics Holdings Limited (SGX:BN2) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.
After the downgrade, the two analysts covering Valuetronics Holdings are now predicting revenues of HK$1.8b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a credible 5.2% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 2.4% to HK$0.40. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of HK$2.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of HK$0.40 in 2025. So there's been a clear change in analyst sentiment in the recent update, with the analysts making a substantial drop in revenues and reconfirming their earnings per share estimates.
The consensus has reconfirmed its price target of HK$3.81, showing that the analysts don't expect weaker sales expectationsthis year to have a material impact on Valuetronics Holdings' market value. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Valuetronics Holdings analyst has a price target of HK$4.38 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at HK$2.80. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Valuetronics Holdings is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 5.2% annualised growth until the end of 2025. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 8.7% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 13% per year. So although Valuetronics Holdings' revenue growth is expected to improve, it is still expected to grow slower than the industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with analysts reconfirming that earnings per share are expected to continue performing in line with their prior expectations. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Valuetronics Holdings after today.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.