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Improved Revenues Required Before CASI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASI) Stock's 28% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 5 20:23

Those holding CASI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASI) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 37% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, CASI Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.7x and even P/S above 67x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

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NasdaqCM:CASI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 5th 2024

How CASI Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, CASI Pharmaceuticals' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CASI Pharmaceuticals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 32%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 66% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 37% each year during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 209% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why CASI Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S?

Shares in CASI Pharmaceuticals have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that CASI Pharmaceuticals maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with CASI Pharmaceuticals (including 1 which can't be ignored).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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