FUTU Morning Post

US stock preview | Gamestop rose 80% pre-market! “Roaring kitten” showed a delivery order for over 100 million dollars; industry recovery exceeds expectations! Semiconductor stocks generally rose pre-market, with Nvidia rising more than 3%.

Futu News · Jun 3 20:10

全球宏观

周一盘前，三大期指涨跌不一，纳指、标普双双走高

夏季反弹号角吹响？美股在大选年大概率上涨

标普500指数刚刚创下自2020年以来最强劲的5月份表现。投资者想知道，这是否预示着夏季反弹的好兆头。内德戴维斯研究公司首席策略师艾德·克利索尔德在上周五接受采访时表示：“动量主导价格，5月份的强劲表现增加了夏季出现大幅反弹的可能性。”克利索尔德在本周早些时候的一份报告中指出，自1950年以来，在美国大选年，标普500指数从4月30日到10月31日有77.8%的概率上涨。

美联储“大鹰派”继续发声：利率应该长期维持不变

明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利呼吁在“较长”时间内保持利率不变，称在通胀得到控制之前降低借贷成本，将危及美国繁荣的基础。此前，大多数美联储官员都宁愿在更长时间内保持较高利率，冒着增长放缓的风险，也不愿看到自己的信誉被通胀复苏削弱。

当心“过山车”！期权交易者押注：波动性即将回归

随着未来几周将有多家央行做出利率决定，期权交易商纷纷押注市场波动性将在夏季低迷到来前最后一次上扬。从6月7日的就业报告到6月12日的一系列事件，美国股票期权交易员已经在定价中计入了更高的隐含波动率。

四个月内加息？乐天银行：日本央行最迟可能在10月采取行动

在日本央行今年3月取消负利率政策后，日本在线金融公司乐天银行预计，央行可能将于今年晚些时候再次加息。乐天银行首席执行官Hiroyuki Nagai在接受采访时表示，鉴于日元兑美元汇率下跌，日本央行最迟可能在10月份采取行动。截止发稿，美元兑日元汇率在156.674的水平，今年以来，日元已累计贬值超过11%。

热点要闻

明星科技股盘前集体上涨

半导体股盘前普涨，分析称行业复苏势头超预期

月31日，韩国统计厅公布的数据显示，4月份芯片库存同比下降33.7%，为2014年底以来的最大降幅。分析人士指出，全球客户正在加快购买AI芯片，需求正以快于供应的速度增长，复苏势头超预期，这对全球芯片行业无疑是一则利好消息。截至发稿，$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$盘前涨超3%，$台积电 (TSM.US)$、$博通 (AVGO.US)$、$高通 (QCOM.US)$、$美光科技 (MU.US)$涨约2%，$英特尔 (INTC.US)$、$美国超微公司 (AMD.US)$跟涨。

带头大哥又发帖！“咆哮小猫”晒出超亿美元交割单，游戏驿站盘前涨近80%

$游戏驿站 (GME.US)$的股价在周一美股开盘后很可能将再度狂飙突进，因为美国散户们的带头大哥“咆哮小猫”在上周末又发帖了。据悉，“咆哮小猫”周日在其Reddit的账号“DeepF-Value”上，晒出了一张交割单截图。截图显示，他已经以每股21.27美元的价格买入了500万股游戏驿站的股票，总价值高达1.157亿美元。截至发稿，该股盘前涨约80%。

AMD全力冲刺AI数据中心与AIPC！重磅推出MI325X与Ryzen AI 300系列

英伟达CEO黄仁勋在6月2日晚间公布了最新AI芯片的迭代时间表后，$美国超微公司 (AMD.US)$不甘示弱。3日上午，在COMPUTEX开幕前的演讲中，AMD CEO苏姿丰也抛出了一条迭代路线图。公司今年将推出MI325 X、Ryzen AI 300，2025年将推出MI350系列，2026年将推出MI400系列。

华尔街一哥与马斯克的世纪和解？小摩或重新加入马斯克业务争夺战

马斯克曾因为一些业务争执而与摩根大通产生过剧烈摩擦，在2016年之后，马斯克旗下的$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$和SpaceX几乎与小摩断绝业务往来。然而，事情在今年已经迎来转机。3月，马斯克罕见出席摩根大通的首届科技大会，并与摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙同台，被视为双方关系破冰的前兆。

微软全球投资再下一城！斥资32亿美元扩建瑞典AI基础设施

$微软 (MSFT.US)$周一（6月3日）表示，将在两年内向瑞典投资337亿瑞典克朗（合32.1亿美元），以扩大其在当地的云计算和人工智能基础设施。这将是微软迄今为止在瑞典最大的一笔投资，旨在建立“世界领先的人工智能数据中心基础设施”。

波音终于迎来好消息！计划6月5日进行“星际客机”首次载人飞行

近期遭遇产能问题冲击的美国航空航天业巨头$波音 (BA.US)$终于等来好消息，波音和美国国家航空航天局(NASA)当地时间周日表示，双方的工作团队正准备在6月5日发射新型的“星际客机”太空舱(Starliner)，此前该太空舱于周六进行了首次试飞工作。

聚焦中概股

热门中概股盘前齐涨

哔哩哔哩盘前涨超3%，获瑞银上调评级至“买入”并上调每股盈测

$哔哩哔哩 (BILI.US)$美股盘前涨3.58%，报15.04美元。瑞银发表报告指出，哔哩哔哩首季广告收入按年增长31%，跑赢其他在线媒体同业。该行预期公司广告收入在今年将受惠于自下而上的改善和需求利好因素。该行对公司2024至2026年每股盈测上调介乎19%至39%，美股目标价由11.9美元上调至18美元，评级由“中性”上调至“买入”。

美股盘前成交额TOP20

美股宏观事历提醒

（以下均为北京时间）

21:45 美国标普全球制造业PMI终值

22:00 美国营建支出月率(%)

22:00 美国ISM制造业PMI

编辑/ruby

Global macro

Before trading on Monday, the three major contracts showed mixed gains and losses, and the Nasdaq and S&P both rose.

Is the summer rebound coming? High probability of an increase in US stocks in election years.

The S&P 500 index just achieved its strongest May performance since 2020. Investors want to know if this indicates a good sign of a summer rebound. Ed Clissold, chief strategist at Ned Davis Research, said in an interview last Friday: "Momentum dominates prices, and the strong performance in May increases the possibility of a significant rebound in summer." Clissold pointed out in a report earlier this week that since 1950, in US election years, there is a 77.8% probability that the S&P 500 index will rise from April 30th to October 31st.

"Hawkish" Fed officials continue to speak out: interest rates should remain unchanged for the long term.

Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari called for interest rates to remain unchanged for a "considerable" period, saying that lowering borrowing costs before inflation is controlled will jeopardize the foundation of US prosperity. Previously, most Fed officials would rather maintain higher interest rates for a longer period of time, risking a slowdown in growth than seeing their reputation weakened by inflationary rebound.

Beware of "roller coasters"! Options traders are betting that volatility will return soon.

As several central banks are expected to make interest rate decisions in the coming weeks, options traders are betting that the market volatility will see one final increase before the summer lull. From the June 7th employment report to a series of events on June 12th, US stock options traders have priced in higher implied volatility.

A rate hike within four months? Rakuten Securities: Bank of Japan may take action no later than October.

After the Bank of Japan lifted its negative interest rate policy in March, online Japanese financial firm Rakuten Securities expects the central bank to raise interest rates again later this year. Rakuten Securities CEO Hiroyuki Nagai said in an interview that given the decline in the yen against the US dollar, the Bank of Japan may take action no later than October. As of the time of publication, the USD/JPY exchange rate was at 156.674, and the yen has depreciated by more than 11% so far this year.

Hot news

Pre-market collective rise of growth tech stocks.

Semiconductor stocks rose across the board before trading, and analysts said that the industry's recovery momentum was better than expected.

On May 31st, data released by the Korean statistical agency showed that compared with the same period last year, chip inventories in April fell by 33.7%, the largest decline since the end of 2014. Analysts pointed out that global customers are speeding up the purchase of AI chips, and demand is growing faster than supply, which is a good news for the global chip industry. As of the time of publication,$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$Pre-market up more than 3%, $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$, $Qualcomm (QCOM.US)$, $Micron Technology (MU.US)$up about 2%, $Intel (INTC.US)$, $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$Follow the trend.

The leader has posted again! The "Roaring Cat" has posted a picture of a delivery order worth over 100 million dollars, and GameStop has risen nearly 80% pre-market trading.

$GameStop (GME.US)$Its stock price is likely to surge again after the opening of the U.S. stock market on Monday, because the leader of the US retail investors, "Roaring Cat", posted again last weekend. It is reported that "Roaring Cat" posted a screenshot of a delivery order on his Reddit account "DeepF-Value" on Sunday. The screenshot showed that he had bought 5 million shares of GameStop's stock at a price of $21.27 per share, with a total value of as much as $115.7 million. As of publication, the stock had risen by about 80% pre-market trading.

AMD is striving for AI data centers and AIPC! Heavy-weight MI325X and Ryzen AI 300 series are launched.

Not to be outdone, after NVIDIA CEO Huang Renxun announced the latest AI chip iteration schedule on the evening of June 2nd, AMD CEO Su Zifeng also threw out an iteration roadmap during her speech on the morning of June 3rd before the COMPUTEX opened. The company will launch the MI325 X and Ryzen AI300 this year, the MI350 series in 2025, and the MI400 series in 2026.$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$Will Wall Street's Number One and Musk reconcile? Goldman Sachs may rejoin the Musk business competition.

Morgan Stanley may invest 33.7 billion Swedish kronor ($3.21 billion) in Sweden over the next two years to expand its cloud computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure in the country and build a "world-leading artificial intelligence data center infrastructure".

Finally some good news for Boeing! The first manned flight of the "Starliner" is scheduled for June 5th.$Tesla (TSLA.US)$Focusing on China concept stocks. Popular China concept stocks rose pre-market trading.

Microsoft global investment expands again! Investing 3.2 billion dollars to expand the AI infrastructure in Sweden.

$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$Bilibili rose more than 3% pre-market trading and was upgraded to "buy" by UBS, which raised its EPS estimate per share.

In 23 years, the company's overall sales volume was 18,000 kiloliters, up 28.10% year-on-year, showing significant growth. In terms of product structure, the operating income of products worth 10-30 billion yuan was 401/1288/60 million yuan, respectively.

The weather is good today The weather is good today.$Boeing (BA.US)$AMD is striving for AI data centers and AIPC! Heavy-weight MI325X and Ryzen AI 300 series are launched.

Not to be outdone, after NVIDIA CEO Huang Renxun announced the latest AI chip iteration schedule on the evening of June 2nd, AMD CEO Su Zifeng also threw out an iteration roadmap during her speech on the morning of June 3rd before the COMPUTEX opened. The company will launch the MI325 X and Ryzen AI300 this year, the MI350 series in 2025, and the MI400 series in 2026.

Will Wall Street's Number One and Musk reconcile? Goldman Sachs may rejoin the Musk business competition.

Morgan Stanley may invest 33.7 billion Swedish kronor ($3.21 billion) in Sweden over the next two years to expand its cloud computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure in the country and build a "world-leading artificial intelligence data center infrastructure".

$Bilibili (BILI.US)$Focusing on China concept stocks. Popular China concept stocks rose pre-market trading.

Bilibili rose more than 3% pre-market trading and was upgraded to "buy" by UBS, which raised its EPS estimate per share.

Reminder for US Macro Events

(All in Peking Time)

21:45 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI final value for USA

22:00 US construction spending rate (%)

22:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI for USA

Editor/ruby

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