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Is Integral Ad Science Holding (NASDAQ:IAS) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 1 21:05

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Integral Ad Science Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:IAS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Integral Ad Science Holding Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Integral Ad Science Holding had US$123.8m of debt in March 2024, down from US$213.4m, one year before. However, it does have US$83.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$39.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:IAS Debt to Equity History June 1st 2024

How Healthy Is Integral Ad Science Holding's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Integral Ad Science Holding had liabilities of US$52.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$168.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$83.9m in cash and US$111.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$25.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This state of affairs indicates that Integral Ad Science Holding's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the US$1.55b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Given net debt is only 0.79 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Integral Ad Science Holding's EBIT has low interest coverage of 0.99 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Integral Ad Science Holding's EBIT was down 72% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Integral Ad Science Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Integral Ad Science Holding actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

We weren't impressed with Integral Ad Science Holding's interest cover, and its EBIT growth rate made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble converting EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Integral Ad Science Holding's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Integral Ad Science Holding you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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