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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLPX) After Shares Rise 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 1 20:19

Those holding Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLPX) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 49% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Olaplex Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.7x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Personal Products industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:OLPX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 1st 2024

How Has Olaplex Holdings Performed Recently?

Olaplex Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Olaplex Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Olaplex Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Olaplex Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 30%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 26% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.4% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 7.4%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Olaplex Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Olaplex Holdings' P/S?

Olaplex Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've concluded that Olaplex Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Olaplex Holdings.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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