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Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCRB) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  May 25 20:26

Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCRB) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 81% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Seres Therapeutics may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.8x and even P/S higher than 67x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:MCRB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 25th 2024

What Does Seres Therapeutics' Recent Performance Look Like?

Seres Therapeutics certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Seres Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Seres Therapeutics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 14% per annum over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 208% each year.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Seres Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Seres Therapeutics' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Seres Therapeutics' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Seres Therapeutics has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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