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Is DTE Energy (NYSE:DTE) A Risky Investment?

Is DTE Energy (NYSE:DTE) A Risky Investment?

DTE Energy(紐約證券交易所代碼:DTE)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/11 22:09

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that DTE Energy Company (NYSE:DTE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,DTE能源公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:DTE)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲地離開。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does DTE Energy Carry?

DTE Energy 揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 DTE Energy had US$21.9b of debt, an increase on US$19.5b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$492.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$21.4b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,DTE Energy在一年內有219億美元的債務,比195億美元有所增加。但是,由於其現金儲備爲4.92億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲214億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DTE Debt to Equity History May 11th 2024
紐約證券交易所:DTE 債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 11 日

How Healthy Is DTE Energy's Balance Sheet?

DTE Energy的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that DTE Energy had liabilities of US$4.98b due within a year, and liabilities of US$29.7b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$492.0m and US$1.62b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$32.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,DTE Energy的負債爲49.8億美元,此後到期的負債爲297億美元。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲4.92億美元,還有價值16.2億美元的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出326億美元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge US$24.1b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

當你考慮到這一缺口超過了公司241億美元的巨額市值時,你很可能會傾向於仔細審查資產負債表。在公司必須迅速清理資產負債表的情況下,股東似乎可能會遭受大規模稀釋。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

DTE Energy has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.5 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. However, one redeeming factor is that DTE Energy grew its EBIT at 16% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine DTE Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

DTE Energy的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率相當高,爲6.5,這表明債務負擔相當可觀。但是,其2.8的利息覆蓋率相當強,這是一個好兆頭。但是,一個補償因素是,DTE Energy在過去12個月中將其息稅前利潤增長了16%,增強了其處理債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定DTE Energy未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, DTE Energy saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,DTE Energy的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both DTE Energy's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Integrated Utilities industry companies like DTE Energy commonly do use debt without problems. We're quite clear that we consider DTE Energy to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for DTE Energy (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地說,DTE Energy的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率及其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但好的一面是,其息稅前利潤增長率是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。我們還應該注意,像DTE Energy這樣的綜合公用事業行業公司通常會毫無問題地使用債務。我們很清楚,由於其資產負債表狀況良好,我們認爲DTE Energy的風險確實相當大。因此,我們對這隻魚的警惕幾乎就像一隻飢餓的小貓要掉進主人的魚池一樣警惕:正如他們所說,一旦被咬傷,兩次害羞。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了 DTE Energy 的 3 個警告信號(1 個有點令人擔憂!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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