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LONGi Green Energy Technology's (SHSE:601012) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

LONGi Green Energy Technology's (SHSE:601012) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

隆基綠色能源科技(SHSE: 601012)的軟收益並未顯示全貌
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 14:16

The most recent earnings report from LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601012) was disappointing for shareholders. While the headline numbers were soft, we believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors.

隆基綠色能源技術有限公司(SHSE: 601012)的最新收益報告令股東失望。儘管標題數據疲軟,但我們認爲投資者可能遺漏了一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601012 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 601012 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

Zooming In On LONGi Green Energy Technology's Earnings

放大隆基綠色能源科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to March 2024, LONGi Green Energy Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.22. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥1.5b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥4.76b. We saw that FCF was CN¥15b a year ago though, so LONGi Green Energy Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,隆基綠色能源科技的應計比率爲0.22。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲15億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲47.6億元人民幣。不過,我們看到一年前的FCF爲150億元人民幣,因此隆基綠色能源科技過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

LONGi Green Energy Technology's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥4.2b in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. LONGi Green Energy Technology took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to March 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

隆基綠色能源科技的利潤受到不尋常項目的影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了42億元人民幣。如果這是一筆非現金費用,則可以更輕鬆地實現高現金轉換,因此令人驚訝的是,應計比率講述了一個不同的故事。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤付出代價從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。在截至2024年3月的一年中,隆基綠色能源科技因不尋常的項目而遭受了相當大的打擊。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤看起來比其基本盈利能力差。

Our Take On LONGi Green Energy Technology's Profit Performance

我們對隆基綠色能源科技盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, LONGi Green Energy Technology's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that LONGi Green Energy Technology's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. If you want to do dive deeper into LONGi Green Energy Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for LONGi Green Energy Technology (1 is potentially serious!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.

總之,隆基綠色能源科技的應計比率表明,儘管不尋常的項目打壓了利潤,但其法定收益沒有現金流支持。考慮到上述所有因素,我們認爲隆基綠色能源科技的盈利業績可以很好地指導其真正的盈利能力,儘管有點保守。如果你想更深入地研究隆基綠色能源技術,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。我們的分析顯示,隆基綠色能源科技有3個警告信號(其中一個可能很嚴重!)我們強烈建議你在投資之前先看看這些壞孩子。

Our examination of LONGi Green Energy Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對隆基綠色能源科技的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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