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BridgeBio Pharma, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BBIO) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Simply Wall St ·  May 3 22:45

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 23.7x BridgeBio Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ:BBIO) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 13.7x and even P/S lower than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:BBIO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 3rd 2024

What Does BridgeBio Pharma's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent revenue growth for BridgeBio Pharma has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on BridgeBio Pharma.

How Is BridgeBio Pharma's Revenue Growth Trending?

BridgeBio Pharma's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 181% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 49% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 157% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that BridgeBio Pharma's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've concluded that BridgeBio Pharma currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

You need to take note of risks, for example - BridgeBio Pharma has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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