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We Think Weibo's (NASDAQ:WB) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think Weibo's (NASDAQ:WB) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我們認爲微博(納斯達克股票代碼:WB)的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:41

Shareholders appeared to be happy with Weibo Corporation's (NASDAQ:WB) solid earnings report last week. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

股東們似乎對微博公司(納斯達克股票代碼:WB)上週的穩健收益報告感到滿意。從總體利潤來看,市場反應的這種反應是可以理解的,我們發現了一些進一步的令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:WB Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024
NASDAQGS: WB 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 2 日

Examining Cashflow Against Weibo's Earnings

根據微博的收益研究現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to December 2023, Weibo had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$636m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$342.6m. Weibo shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,微博的應計比率爲-0.11。因此,其法定收入遠遠低於其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲6.36億美元,遠遠超過其3.426億美元的法定利潤。微博股東們無疑對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Weibo's Profit Performance

我們對微博盈利表現的看法

Weibo's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Weibo's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Furthermore, it has done a great job growing EPS over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Weibo, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Weibo, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

正如我們在上面討論的那樣,微博的應計比率很穩定,表明自由現金流強勁。正因爲如此,我們認爲微博的盈利潛力至少和看起來一樣好,甚至可能更好!此外,在過去的一年中,它在增長每股收益方面做得很好。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果你想更深入地研究微博,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。在投資風險方面,我們已經向微博確定了一個警告信號,我們知道這應該是你投資過程的一部分。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Weibo's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解微博利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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