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Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE:FL) Shares May Have Slumped 27% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  May 2 03:11

The Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE:FL) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 49% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Foot Locker's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:FL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 1st 2024

What Does Foot Locker's Recent Performance Look Like?

Foot Locker could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Foot Locker will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Foot Locker's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.6% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.1% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.3% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 3.6%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Foot Locker's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Foot Locker's P/S Mean For Investors?

Foot Locker's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our check of Foot Locker's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Foot Locker you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Foot Locker's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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