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We Think That There Are More Issues For Yuneng Technology (SHSE:688348) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Yuneng Technology (SHSE:688348) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我們認爲,宇能科技(SHSE: 688348)面臨的問題不僅僅是收益疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 13:24

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Yuneng Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688348) weak earnings. We did some digging, and we believe that investors are missing some worrying factors underlying the profit figures.

股東們似乎對宇能科技有限公司並不太擔心。”s(上海證券交易所代碼:688348)收益疲軟。我們進行了一些挖掘,我們認爲投資者遺漏了構成利潤數據的一些令人擔憂的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688348 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SHSE: 688348 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Yuneng Technology's Earnings

根據宇能科技的收益檢查現金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

For the year to December 2023, Yuneng Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.68. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥937m despite its profit of CN¥220.2m, mentioned above. We also note that Yuneng Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥937m. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,宇能科技的應計比率爲0.68。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲2.202億元人民幣,但流出量仍爲9.37億元人民幣,如上所述。我們還注意到,Yuneng Technology去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其9.37億元的流出所困擾。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Yuneng Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥38m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Yuneng Technology's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考慮到應計比率,在過去的十二個月中,Yuneng Technology的利潤因價值3800萬元人民幣的不尋常項目而提振也就不足爲奇了。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。我們可以看到,截至2023年12月的一年中,宇能科技的不尋常積極項目相對於其利潤相當可觀。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On Yuneng Technology's Profit Performance

我們對宇能科技盈利表現的看法

Yuneng Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Yuneng Technology'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. If you want to do dive deeper into Yuneng Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Yuneng Technology has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

宇能科技的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實得到了不尋常項目的提振。經過反思,上述因素給我們留下了強烈的印象,即根據法定利潤數字,宇能科技的潛在盈利能力並不像看起來那樣好。如果你想更深入地研究宇能科技,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。例如,Yuneng Technology 有 3 個警告標誌(其中一個讓我們有點不舒服)我們認爲你應該知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多值得發現的地方。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這批擁有高股本回報率的免費公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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