There wouldn't be many who think Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NXST) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 17x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Nexstar Media Group has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Nexstar Media Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 60%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 43% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 46% each year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Nexstar Media Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Nexstar Media Group's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Nexstar Media Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Nexstar Media Group (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nexstar Media Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.