The Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:HTZ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 41%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 71% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, Hertz Global Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Transportation industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.3x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
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How Has Hertz Global Holdings Performed Recently?
Recent revenue growth for Hertz Global Holdings has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hertz Global Holdings.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hertz Global Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hertz Global Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.4%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 103% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.9% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.8% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hertz Global Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
The southerly movements of Hertz Global Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Hertz Global Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hertz Global Holdings (including 2 which make us uncomfortable).
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.