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DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:DLHC) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 26% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 26 19:53

To the annoyance of some shareholders, DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:DLHC) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 10.0% over the last twelve months.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it would still be understandable if you think DLH Holdings is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.4x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Professional Services industry have P/S ratios above 1.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:DLHC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

How Has DLH Holdings Performed Recently?

DLH Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on DLH Holdings.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as DLH Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 27% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 87% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.0% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 6.3% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why DLH Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From DLH Holdings' P/S?

DLH Holdings' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of DLH Holdings' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for DLH Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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