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Benign Growth For Kopin Corporation (NASDAQ:KOPN) Underpins Stock's 48% Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 25 03:19

Kopin Corporation (NASDAQ:KOPN) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 48% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 10.0% over that longer period.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Kopin may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.1x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:KOPN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 24th 2024

What Does Kopin's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Kopin's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Kopin.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kopin would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 45%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Kopin's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Kopin's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Kopin's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kopin you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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