When close to half the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may consider Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Trip.com Group Performed Recently?
Trip.com Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Trip.com Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Trip.com Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Trip.com Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 122%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 143% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Trip.com Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Trip.com Group's P/S
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Trip.com Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Trip.com Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.