share_log

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Ribo Fashion Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603196) Shares Dive 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 21 08:06

The Ribo Fashion Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603196) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 4.8% during the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may still consider Ribo Fashion Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603196 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024

What Does Ribo Fashion Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Ribo Fashion Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ribo Fashion Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ribo Fashion Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ribo Fashion Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.0% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 11% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ribo Fashion Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

There's still some elevation in Ribo Fashion Group's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Ribo Fashion Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Ribo Fashion Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
    Write a comment