Individual Investor Gyokusuke Limited: We should only keep a close eye on individual stocks that have thoroughly performed well and have strong charts [FISCO Social Reporter]

Fisco Japan · Apr 20 09:00

以下は、フィスコソーシャルレポーターの個人投資家「有限亭玉介」氏（ブログ：儲かる株情報「猫旦那のお株は天井知らず」）が執筆したコメントです。フィスコでは、情報を積極的に発信する個人の方と連携し、より多様な情報を投資家の皆様に向けて発信することに努めております。

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※2024年4月15日15時に執筆

なかなか難しい相場が続いておりますが、結局のところ相場を動かすのは米国の金利であるように思えます。3月分の米消費者物価指数は市場予想を上回ったとの事ですから、また利下げ期待が後退ですな…。

改めまして株＆猫ブログ「儲かる株情報『猫旦那のお株は天井知らず』」を執筆しております、有限亭玉介と申します。

4月10日、米労務省が発表した3月の消費者物価指数(CPI)は前年同月比で3.5%上昇し、市場予想を上回りました。米国が利下げへ向かうと浮き足立っていたところから、一気に失望へ変わってしまいましたねぇ。

利下げが後ろ倒しになるならまだしも、また利上げを実施するような最悪の展開はもう勘弁してもらいたいもんですな。世界一の経済力を持つ米国とはいえ、これだけの利上げをしてもインフレが続くなんてパウエル議長も予想出来なかったでしょう。中東やロシアなどの地政学リスクが顕在化してくると、さらにインフレ圧力が強まる事も考えられます。

ドル円の為替に関しても、一時は153円台を付けて歴史的な円安水準にまで下落してきました。円安は日本を代表するようなグローバル企業の業績を押し上げる点では問題ありません。ただ、中小企業が賃上げをする前に日銀が利上げを実施した事で、日本全体の景気が良いとは言えない状況です。日本は米国のように、利上げを跳ね返すほどのインフレにはならないでしょうな。

結局、4月8日～12日の週では日経平均は4万円を割ったままでの推移となりました。25日線をしっかり上回れれば希望が見えてきますが、なんだか様子見ムードが広がっている気もします。こういう時こそ、業績期待が高く、チャートも底堅い銘柄に注目しておきたいもんですな。

まずは独立系PR会社の共同ピーアール＜2436＞からチェックして参ります。2月13日の好決算で、しっかり窓を開けて動意しましたな。直近でも25日線を上回って、高値圏で推移しております。24年12月期も過去最高益となる見通しですから注視したいです。

アルミサッシ大手の不二サッシ＜5940＞は、業績期待だけでなく低PBR関連としても思惑があります。小型株で一日の売買は少なくても、堅調に利益を出している優良企業と言えそうですな。昨年11月に「資本コストや株価を意識した経営の実現に向けた対応について」を発表し、今後は低PBRが是正されていくか監視中。

力強い上昇トレンドを長期で形成しているまんだらけ＜2652＞は、直近で年初来高値を更新しました。3月29日には配当修正を発表し、業績も好調です。マンガ・アニメグッズ等でインバウンド関連の思惑もあり、5月15日の決算発表を注視しております。

4月2日の決算と併せて増配も発表した焼肉チェーンのあみやき亭＜2753＞は、鮮やかな上昇トレンドを形成しております。食券機やセルフサービスの導入でコスト削減に注力した結果、業績も改善されているもよう。

不動産投資ポータルサービス「リノシー」を運営するGA TECH＜3491＞は、インフレを追い風にして思惑が入っているようですが、地合い悪化で一気に75日線まで調整していましたね。今後しばらく上値は重い可能性はありますが、成長・拡大期待の高い『不動産テック』という分野において同社への期待は個人的には継続です。内需関連株への物色も再び強まっていけば再び思惑を誘うのではないでしょうか。

最後は直近で年初来高値を更新しておりますサカタインクス＜4633＞です。新聞用など印刷インキ大手の同社は、PER・PBRともに割安水準となっています。5月14日の決算発表後のチャートがどうなるか監視を強めていきたいですな。

さて、ちょっとお話が長くなりましたが、あたくしのブログではそんな「今強含んでいる個別株・テーマ株」を紹介しています。お暇があれば覗いてみてやってください。愛猫「アル」と共にお待ち申し上げております。

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執筆者名：有限亭玉介

ブログ名：猫旦那のお株は天井知らず

Below is a comment written by FISCO Social Reporter's individual investor “Tamasuke Limited” (blog: Profitable Stock Information “Cat Husband's Stock Knows No Ceiling”). FISCO is working to disseminate more diverse information to investors by cooperating with individuals who actively disseminate information.

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※Written on April 15, 2024 at 15:00

The market continues to be quite difficult, but at the end of the day, it seems that it is the US interest rate that drives the market. It is said that the US consumer price index for March exceeded market expectations, so expectations for interest rate cuts have receded again...

Once again, my name is Kyusuke Limited, and I'm writing the stock & cat blog “Profitable Stock Information “Cat Husband's Stock Knows No Ceiling”.

The consumer price index (CPI) for March announced by the U.S. Department of Labor on 4/10 rose 3.5% from the same month last year, exceeding market expectations. When the US headed for interest rate cuts, it went from being out of control to disappointment all at once.

If interest rate cuts go backwards, I'd like them to stop the worst developments, such as implementing interest rate hikes again. Even though it is the United States, which has the best economic power in the world, Chairman Powell could not have predicted that inflation would continue even if interest rates were raised this much. As geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Russia, etc. become apparent, it is conceivable that inflationary pressure will intensify further.

The exchange rate of the dollar to yen also fell to a historic depreciation level with the 153 yen range at one point. There is no problem with the depreciation of the yen boosting the performance of global companies representing Japan. However, since the Bank of Japan implemented interest rate hikes before small and medium-sized enterprises raised wages, it is impossible to say that Japan's economy as a whole is good. Japan probably won't have enough inflation to repel interest rate hikes like the United States.

In the end, the Nikkei Average remained divided by 40,000 yen during the week of 4/8 to 12. If it is well above the 25th line, hope will come into view, but I also feel that the wait-and-see mood is spreading. At times like this, I want to keep an eye on stocks with high performance expectations and solid charts.

First, I'll check out the independent PR company Kyodo PR ＜2436＞. We had good financial results on 2/13, so we opened the window firmly and made a move. Recently, it has surpassed the 25th line and is moving in the high price range. The fiscal year ending 24/12 is also expected to be a record high, so I would like to keep a close eye on it.

Fuji Sash (5940), a major aluminum sash company, is speculated not only about performance expectations, but also about low PBR. It seems that it can be said that it is an excellent company that is making steady profits, even if there is little daily trading in small-cap stocks. “Response to Realization of Management Aware of Capital Costs and Stock Prices” was announced in November last year, and we are monitoring whether low PBR will be corrected in the future.

Mandarake ＜2652＞, which has formed a strong upward trend over a long period of time, recently hit a year-to-date high. Dividend revisions were announced on March 29th, and business performance is also strong. There are also inbound-related speculations about manga, anime goods, etc., and we are closely monitoring the financial results announcement on 5/15.

The yakiniku chain Amiyaki-tei ＜2753＞, which also announced an increase in dividends along with the financial results for 4/2, has formed a vivid upward trend. As a result of focusing on cost reduction through the introduction of meal ticket machines and self-service, it seems that business performance has also improved.

GA TECH (3491), which operates the real estate investment portal service “Renosy,” seems to have speculated with inflation as a tailwind, but due to deteriorating conditions, it was adjusted to the 75-day line all at once. There is a possibility that the price increase will be heavy for some time to come, but my personal expectations for the company continue in the field of “real estate tech,” where expectations for growth and expansion are high. If the search for domestic demand-related stocks intensifies again, I think it will once again induce speculation.

The last one is Sakata Inx ＜4633＞, which has recently updated its year-to-date high. The company, which is a major printing ink company for newspapers, etc., is at a bargain level for both PER and PBR. I would like to increase monitoring of what will happen to the chart after the financial results are announced on 5/14.

Well, I've been talking a bit long, but my blog introduces such “individual stocks and theme stocks that are strong now.” If you have free time, please take a look. We look forward to seeing you with our beloved cat “Al.”

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Author's name: Gyokusuke Kotei

Blog name: Cat Husband's Stock Knows No Ceiling

The translation is provided by third-party software.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.

個人投資家・有限亭玉介：徹底的に好業績でチャートが強い個別株にこそ注視すべき【FISCOソーシャルレポーター】

Individual Investor Gyokusuke Limited: We should only keep a close eye on individual stocks that have thoroughly performed well and have strong charts [FISCO Social Reporter]

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