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It's Down 35% But Maxic Technology, Inc. (SHSE:688458) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 19 07:20

The Maxic Technology, Inc. (SHSE:688458) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 35%. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Maxic Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688458 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

What Does Maxic Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Maxic Technology as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Maxic Technology.

How Is Maxic Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

Maxic Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.1% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 217% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 78% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 34% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Maxic Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Maxic Technology's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Maxic Technology's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Maxic Technology you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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