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SEALSQ Corp (NASDAQ:LAES) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 39% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 18 19:52

To the annoyance of some shareholders, SEALSQ Corp (NASDAQ:LAES) shares are down a considerable 39% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

After such a large drop in price, SEALSQ may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.2x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LAES Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

How SEALSQ Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for SEALSQ as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SEALSQ will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, SEALSQ would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 110% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 5.2% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 45%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that SEALSQ's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From SEALSQ's P/S?

SEALSQ's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that SEALSQ's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, SEALSQ's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware SEALSQ is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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