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Jiajiayue Group (SHSE:603708) Sheds CN¥792m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

Jiajiayue Group (SHSE:603708) Sheds CN¥792m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

佳佳悅集團(上海證券交易所代碼:603708)下跌7.92億元人民幣,公司收益和投資者回報率在過去五年中一直呈下降趨勢
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 09:27

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603708), since the last five years saw the share price fall 49%. Furthermore, it's down 18% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

選股的主要目的是尋找市場領先的股票。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。此時,一些股東可能會質疑他們對佳佳悅集團有限公司(SHSE: 603708)的投資,因爲過去五年股價下跌了49%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了18%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。

With the stock having lost 11% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由於該股在過去一週下跌了11%,值得一看業務表現,看看是否有任何危險信號。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Jiajiayue Group moved from a loss to profitability. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

在五年的股價增長中,佳佳悅集團從虧損轉爲盈利。大多數人會認爲這是一件好事,因此股價下跌是違反直覺的。其他指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。

The modest 1.0% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 6.9% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

1.0%的適度股息收益率不太可能指導該股的市場觀點。與股價形成鮮明對比的是,在五年期間,收入實際上每年增長6.9%。因此,看來人們可能必須仔細研究基本面才能理解股價下跌的原因。畢竟,可能有機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603708 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 18th 2024
SHSE: 603708 2024 年 4 月 18 日收益和收入增長

We know that Jiajiayue Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? You can see what analysts are predicting for Jiajiayue Group in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我們知道家家悅集團最近提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?您可以在這張未來利潤估計的交互式圖表中看到分析師對佳佳悅集團的預測。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Jiajiayue Group the TSR over the last 5 years was -45%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,對於佳佳悅集團而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲-45%,好於上述股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that Jiajiayue Group returned a loss of 16% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 20%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Jiajiayue Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

儘管佳佳悅集團在過去十二個月中回報了16%的虧損令人痛心,但整個市場實際上更糟,回報了20%的虧損。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中8%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,冒險吧——佳佳悅集團有 1 個我們認爲你應該注意的警告標誌。

Of course Jiajiayue Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,佳佳悅集團可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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