Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Tinavi Medical Technologies Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688277) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 55% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Medical Equipment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.8x, you may still consider Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 16.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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What Does Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 34% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 54% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd's P/S?
Even after such a strong price drop, Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Having said that, be aware Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.