Despite an already strong run, Marco Polo Marine Ltd. (SGX:5LY) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 57% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Marco Polo Marine's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Singapore, where the median P/E ratio is around 12x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times have been pleasing for Marco Polo Marine as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Is There Some Growth For Marco Polo Marine?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Marco Polo Marine's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as earnings have been stuck during that whole time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has definitely eluded the company recently.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.1% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Marco Polo Marine is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Marco Polo Marine's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Marco Polo Marine currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Marco Polo Marine you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Marco Polo Marine's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.