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Take Care Before Jumping Onto Semantix, Inc. (NASDAQ:STIX) Even Though It's 54% Cheaper

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 10 02:46

Semantix, Inc. (NASDAQ:STIX) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 54% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 92% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Semantix may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:STIX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 9th 2024

What Does Semantix's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Semantix over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Semantix will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Semantix will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Semantix?

Semantix's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.8% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 81% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Semantix's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Semantix's P/S?

Shares in Semantix have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We're very surprised to see Semantix currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Having said that, be aware Semantix is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those shouldn't be ignored.

If you're unsure about the strength of Semantix's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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