The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Hangzhou Juheshun New Material Co.,LTD (SHSE:605166), despite the profit numbers being soft. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.
Examining Cashflow Against Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to December 2023, Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD had an accrual ratio of -0.15. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥218m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥196.7m. Notably, Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥218m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD's Profit Performance
Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 48% annually, over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hangzhou Juheshun New MaterialLTD's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.