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Isetan (Singapore) Limited (SGX:I15) Stock Rockets 152% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 4 08:43

The Isetan (Singapore) Limited (SGX:I15) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 152%. The annual gain comes to 151% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Isetan (Singapore) is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.4x, considering almost half the companies in Singapore's Multiline Retail industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:I15 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 4th 2024

What Does Isetan (Singapore)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Isetan (Singapore) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Isetan (Singapore), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Isetan (Singapore)?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Isetan (Singapore) would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.9% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 7.6% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Isetan (Singapore)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Isetan (Singapore)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Isetan (Singapore)'s P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Isetan (Singapore) currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Isetan (Singapore) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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