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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) With Shares Advancing 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 4 06:43

Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Pengxin International MiningLtd's P/S ratio of 1.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Metals and Mining industry in China is also close to 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600490 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 3rd 2024

How Pengxin International MiningLtd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Pengxin International MiningLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Pengxin International MiningLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Pengxin International MiningLtd?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Pengxin International MiningLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 34% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Pengxin International MiningLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Pengxin International MiningLtd's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Pengxin International MiningLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Pengxin International MiningLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Pengxin International MiningLtd that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Pengxin International MiningLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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