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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Hundsun Technologies' (SHSE:600570) Earnings

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Hundsun Technologies' (SHSE:600570) Earnings

恒生科技(SHSE: 600570)的收益质量可能存在潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  04/01 08:19

Investors were disappointed with Hundsun Technologies Inc.'s (SHSE:600570) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.

投资者对恒生科技公司感到失望。”s(上海证券交易所代码:600570)的收益,尽管利润数字强劲。我们的分析发现了一些我们认为市场可能会关注的令人担忧的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600570 Earnings and Revenue History April 1st 2024
SHSE: 600570 2024 年 4 月 1 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Hundsun Technologies' Earnings

仔细看看恒生科技的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Hundsun Technologies has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to December 2023. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥357m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥1.42b. Hundsun Technologies shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,恒生科技的应计比率为0.24。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远低于其报告的利润。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为3.57亿元人民币,远低于其14.2亿元人民币的法定利润。自过去十二个月以来,恒生科技的股东们无疑希望明年其自由现金流能够反弹。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Hundsun Technologies' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥191m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Hundsun Technologies to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

恒生科技的利润受到不寻常项目的影响,在过去的十二个月中,利润减少了1.91亿元人民币。如果这是一笔非现金费用,则可以更轻松地实现高现金转换,因此令人惊讶的是,应计比率讲述了一个不同的故事。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。鉴于这些单列项目被认为不寻常,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,因此,在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计恒生科技明年将实现更高的利润。

Our Take On Hundsun Technologies' Profit Performance

我们对恒生科技盈利表现的看法

Hundsun Technologies saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Hundsun Technologies's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Hundsun Technologies has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

恒生科技看到不寻常的项目压制了其利润,这本来可以更容易地显示出高现金转化率,但根据其应计比率,恒生科技却没有这样做。鉴于截然不同的考虑,我们对恒生科技的利润是否恰当反映了其潜在的盈利潜力没有强烈的看法。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,恒生科技有1个警告标志,我们认为你应该注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为企业的指南。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


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