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Is Jangho Group (SHSE:601886) A Risky Investment?

Is Jangho Group (SHSE:601886) A Risky Investment?

Jangho Group(上海證券交易所代碼:601886)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/28 11:43

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jangho Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601886) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,江和集團有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:601886)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人強迫他們以不利的價格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Jangho Group's Net Debt?

Jangho 集團的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Jangho Group had CN¥2.66b of debt, up from CN¥2.48b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.60b in cash, leading to a CN¥938.2m net cash position.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,江和集團的債務爲26.6億元人民幣,高於去年同期的24.8億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但另一方面,它也有36億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲9.382億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601886 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SHSE: 601886 2024 年 3 月 28 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Jangho Group's Balance Sheet?

Jangho 集團的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jangho Group had liabilities of CN¥18.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.60b and CN¥16.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥991.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Jangho Group的負債爲180億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲13.2億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲36億元人民幣,還有價值167億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出9.912億元人民幣 負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Jangho Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Jangho Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,由於其資產負債表遠未緊張,Jangho Group可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,Jangho Group的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Although Jangho Group made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥1.1b in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jangho Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

儘管Jangho Group在息稅前利潤水平上出現了虧損,但也很高興看到它在過去十二個月中創造了11億元人民幣的息稅前利潤。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定Jangho Group能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Jangho Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last year, Jangho Group created free cash flow amounting to 17% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。儘管Jangho Group的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。去年,Jangho集團創造了相當於其息稅前利潤17%的自由現金流,表現平淡無奇。這種低迷的現金轉換水平削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jangho Group has net cash of CN¥938.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Jangho Group's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jangho Group you should know about.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,Jangho Group的淨現金爲9.382億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。因此,我們對Jangho集團使用債務沒有任何問題。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了你應該知道的Jangho Group的1個警告標誌。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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