Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd (SHSE:603353), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.043 = CN¥84m ÷ (CN¥2.2b - CN¥299m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Thus, Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd has an ROCE of 4.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Specialty Retail industry average of 4.9%.
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's past further, check out this free graph covering Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 4.3% from 45% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a side note, Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 13% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
What We Can Learn From Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's ROCE
We're a bit apprehensive about Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last three years have experienced a 43% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd (including 1 which is significant) .
While Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.