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CoreCivic's (NYSE:CXW) 23% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Three-year Period

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 21 20:16

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE:CXW), which is up 84%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 21% (not including dividends).

The past week has proven to be lucrative for CoreCivic investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

CoreCivic was able to grow its EPS at 9.8% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is lower than the 23% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CXW Earnings Per Share Growth March 21st 2024

Dive deeper into CoreCivic's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of CoreCivic's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that CoreCivic shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 76% over one year. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.5% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for CoreCivic (1 is significant) that you should be aware of.

But note: CoreCivic may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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